Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#284
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#245
Pace80.4#11
Improvement+5.5#19

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#276
Improvement+0.1#163

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#268
Improvement+5.3#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 51   @ Tennessee L 63-92 5%     0 - 1 -17.3 +1.1 -20.2
  Nov 14, 2011 17   @ Georgetown L 45-86 2%     0 - 2 -24.0 -18.5 -4.9
  Nov 19, 2011 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 60-82 5%     0 - 3 -10.4 -6.1 -4.2
  Nov 20, 2011 331   Towson W 72-60 75%     1 - 3 -2.3 -5.3 +3.1
  Nov 28, 2011 303   @ N.C. A&T L 65-87 45%     1 - 4 -27.9 -15.8 -9.9
  Dec 01, 2011 255   @ Appalachian St. L 64-78 32%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -16.2 -14.0 -1.4
  Dec 03, 2011 234   @ Western Carolina L 69-73 28%     1 - 6 0 - 2 -4.9 -2.6 -2.6
  Dec 05, 2011 261   Elon L 72-80 59%     1 - 7 0 - 3 -17.4 -7.9 -9.2
  Dec 11, 2011 22   @ Florida St. L 60-75 3%     1 - 8 +1.1 -7.1 +9.4
  Dec 16, 2011 138   East Carolina L 62-71 28%     1 - 9 -10.1 -17.0 +7.6
  Dec 19, 2011 15   @ Duke L 63-90 2%     1 - 10 -9.7 -7.5 -0.8
  Dec 22, 2011 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-80 13%     1 - 11 -7.1 -2.2 -4.8
  Dec 30, 2011 111   @ Richmond L 58-78 9%     1 - 12 -12.5 -12.0 -1.1
  Jan 02, 2012 41   @ Miami (FL) L 89-99 4%     1 - 13 +2.8 +6.6 -2.1
  Jan 05, 2012 74   Davidson L 63-92 16%     1 - 14 0 - 4 -25.7 -12.1 -12.9
  Jan 12, 2012 168   @ College of Charleston W 73-66 17%     2 - 14 1 - 4 +10.3 -6.7 +16.1
  Jan 14, 2012 319   @ The Citadel W 67-66 56%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -7.7 -4.5 -3.2
  Jan 19, 2012 274   Chattanooga W 81-72 60%     4 - 14 3 - 4 -0.8 +2.0 -2.9
  Jan 22, 2012 279   Samford W 61-60 62%     5 - 14 4 - 4 -9.3 -19.7 +10.4
  Jan 26, 2012 255   Appalachian St. W 77-73 OT 57%     6 - 14 5 - 4 -5.0 -8.3 +2.9
  Jan 28, 2012 234   Western Carolina W 89-86 OT 52%     7 - 14 6 - 4 -4.7 -8.9 +3.5
  Feb 02, 2012 319   The Citadel W 82-71 79%     8 - 14 7 - 4 -4.5 -1.2 -3.8
  Feb 04, 2012 238   @ Furman L 85-93 28%     8 - 15 7 - 5 -9.1 -2.2 -5.5
  Feb 09, 2012 279   @ Samford W 71-69 36%     9 - 15 8 - 5 -1.5 -3.5 +2.1
  Feb 11, 2012 274   @ Chattanooga W 77-76 34%     10 - 15 9 - 5 -2.0 -5.9 +3.8
  Feb 15, 2012 168   College of Charleston W 78-63 36%     11 - 15 10 - 5 +11.5 -1.7 +12.0
  Feb 18, 2012 237   @ Georgia Southern L 69-83 28%     11 - 16 10 - 6 -15.1 -10.4 -3.3
  Feb 21, 2012 199   Wofford L 56-68 43%     11 - 17 10 - 7 -17.3 -14.8 -3.5
  Feb 25, 2012 261   @ Elon L 79-93 33%     11 - 18 10 - 8 -16.6 -8.3 -5.9
  Mar 03, 2012 255   Appalachian St. W 65-55 44%     12 - 18 +4.4 -9.0 +13.7
  Mar 04, 2012 234   Western Carolina L 77-82 39%     12 - 19 -9.3 -2.3 -6.8
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%